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Poker basics 28 August 2023 · 6 min

Poker Facts That Are Actually True

Poker trivia spreads faster than poker theory, and most of it is wrong. Here is the version that survives checking, and the arithmetic inside it that changes how you play.

Poker trivia travels well and checks out badly. The deck was not designed around the calendar, casinos do not swap decks every fifteen minutes, and nobody invented the burger at a card table.

What follows is the version that survives checking. Some of it is history, most of it is arithmetic, and the arithmetic is the part that changes how you play.

The numbers behind a starting hand

Two cards from a 52 card deck give 1,326 possible combinations. Group them by what actually matters, which is rank and whether the two cards share a suit, and 1,326 collapses to 169 distinct starting hands.

That second number is the useful one. Every preflop range you will ever build is a selection from those 169. Preflop is finite and learnable in a way postflop never quite is, which is why it is the cheapest part of the game to fix first.

Pocket aces come from six of those 1,326 combinations, so you are dealt them about once in 221 hands. At a six handed table running thirty hands an hour, that is roughly one pair of aces every seven hours. Players who say they never get aces are usually right about the frequency and wrong about what it means.

The flop itself has 22,100 possible three card combinations. You are not expected to know them. You are expected to know that most of them miss most ranges, which is the whole basis of the continuation bet.

Why sets pay and gutshots do not

Hold a pocket pair and you flop a set about 11.8 percent of the time, near enough one in eight and a half.

That number is the reason set mining works, and also the reason it fails when people apply it without conditions. Calling a raise with a small pair to flop a set needs the stacks behind to pay you when you hit. As a working rule at 100 big blinds effective you want to be risking somewhere near a twentieth of the effective stack preflop, because you will not get paid in full every time you flop it.

In club app games this leans in your favour more than it does online at a regulator site, because the pools call down wider and stack off lighter with one pair. Where it turns against you is short stacked tables, where there is nothing left behind to win.

Compare a gutshot. Four outs is about 8.7 percent to hit on the next card and roughly 16.5 percent across turn and river together. The gap between that and a set is not the point. The point is that a set is usually the best hand when it arrives and a straight often runs into a flush draw that got there, so the same equity is worth different money.

Television rebuilt the games

Two events did more for the size of the player pool than any strategy book.

The first was the under table camera that showed viewers the hole cards, which arrived on British television at the end of the 1990s and turned poker from an unwatchable staring contest into a broadcast sport. Without it there is no audience.

The second was Chris Moneymaker winning the 2003 World Series Main Event after qualifying through an online satellite. An amateur turning a small qualifier into the biggest title in poker is the single most effective advertisement the game has ever had, and the flood of recreational players that followed is what made the middle of the 2000s profitable for anyone who studied.

Myths that refuse to die

The deck as a calendar is the most repeated one. Fifty two cards for fifty two weeks, four suits for four seasons, card values summing to 364. It is numerology applied after the fact. European decks before the modern one came in several sizes, and the 52 card form won out for reasons of game design rather than astronomy.

The fifteen minute deck change is another. Card decks in a live room get swapped on a schedule, at a table change, or when a card is marked or damaged. There is no universal quarter hour rule.

One piece of trivia is real, though it is slang rather than history. Ace king is called Anna Kournikova at the table, because it looks good and rarely wins. Keep it as a joke and not as strategy: ace king is a strong hand that simply misses the flop about two thirds of the time, which is exactly what any two unpaired cards do.

The fact that decides your winrate

Here is the one that matters more than all the others combined, and it never appears in trivia lists.

At micro and low stakes, rake is the largest single expense in your game. A player breaking even before rake is a losing player after it. This is why the same technical ability produces a profit in one club and a slow bleed in another, and why rakeback is not a bonus but a component of the winrate.

We run clubs across several mobile apps, and the pattern we see is consistent: the players who move from losing to winning at low stakes usually change two things at once, their preflop discipline and the deal they play under. Neither alone is enough.

Frequently asked questions

How many poker hands are there?

There are 1,326 possible two card combinations, which reduce to 169 distinct starting hands once you group them by rank and suitedness. Ranges are built from those 169.

How often do you get pocket aces?

About once in 221 hands, since six of the 1,326 combinations are aces. At thirty hands an hour that is roughly one every seven hours of play.

What are the odds of flopping a set with a pocket pair?

About 11.8 percent, or one in eight and a half. Whether calling to flop one is profitable depends on stack depth and how wide the pool stacks off, not on the 11.8 alone.

Is the 52 card deck really based on the calendar?

No. The match with weeks and seasons is a coincidence that people noticed later. Earlier European decks came in several sizes and the 52 card version won on game design.

Why is ace king called Anna Kournikova?

Table slang: it looks good and rarely wins. It is a strong hand that misses the flop roughly two thirds of the time, the same as any unpaired holding.

What to take from this

Three numbers are worth memorising: 169 starting hands, one in 221 for aces, and 11.8 percent to flop a set. Everything else here is conversation.

The rake point is the one to act on. If you want to know what the field and the deal look like in our clubs before you commit a bankroll to a game, message @rpunion, compare the club apps we run clubs in, or read how the same maths plays out in beating micro stakes cash games. The bankroll rules that survive variance matter more than any single fact above.

18+. Play within your means.

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